Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Stastny 55.1% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 24-8 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 83.5%
Defensive zone
Shaw 91.0%
Neutral zone
Shaw 86.9%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 87.2%
87.2%
12.8%
Shaw
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
24
(32 meetings)
8
24
Shaw
Stastny
Last 10: Shaw 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
6
Shaw
Stastny
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
9
Shaw
Stastny
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
9
Shaw
Stastny
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
54.6% (10,616)
-6.7%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
59.1% (1,994)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
52.9% (1,119)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Shaw
Stastny
Home
50.3% (1,812)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Shaw
Stastny
P1
48.5%
56.3%
P2
47.9%
55.4%
P3
48.2%
53.5%
OT
41.9%
62.9%
Final 5 min
46.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2019 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 08:36 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 2 | 17:02 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 03:39 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 3 | 18:04 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 17:21 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 16:09 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 06:58 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 19:33 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 1 | 04:44 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |