Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 50.1% vs Stastny 57.3% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lander 68.6%
Defensive zone
Lander 64.1%
Neutral zone
Lander 67.6%
Result
Anton Lander favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Lander
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Lander
Stastny
Last 6: Lander 1-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Lander
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Lander
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Lander
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (383)
57.6% (959)
-5.6%
Power Play
44.7% (38)
60.8% (125)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (30)
58.1% (74)
-24.8%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Lander is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Lander shoots left. Stastny is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Home / Away
Lander
Stastny
Home
52.1% (217)
55.9% (590)
Away
48.3% (234)
60.0% (568)
By Period
Lander
Stastny
P1
44.7%
59.6%
P2
54.0%
59.0%
P3
50.7%
55.3%
OT
66.7%
58.3%
Final 5 min
48.9%
65.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
50.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 08:37 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 05:30 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 04:02 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |