Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lander on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lander wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 54.0% vs Stastny 55.6% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 80.0%
Defensive zone
Lander 54.8%
Neutral zone
Stastny 58.5%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Lander
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Lander
Stastny
Last 6: Lander 5-1 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lander
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lander
3
0
Lander
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lander
1
0
Lander
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (507)
56.5% (967)
-1.7%
Power Play
63.5% (52)
58.4% (125)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (134)
50.8% (128)
-0.8%
On power play, Lander has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Lander is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Lander shoots left. Stastny is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (765).
Home / Away
Lander
Stastny
Home
55.6% (315)
56.8% (590)
Away
53.7% (378)
55.4% (630)
By Period
Lander
Stastny
P1
51.8%
59.7%
P2
55.3%
54.8%
P3
57.1%
53.8%
OT
25.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
58.4%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
54.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Anton Lander |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Anton Lander |