Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.9% vs Stastny 54.4% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 64.4%
Defensive zone
Stastny 57.8%
Neutral zone
Stastny 60.6%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Horvat
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Horvat
Stastny
Last 6: Horvat 1-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
3
Horvat
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Horvat
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,134)
53.6% (859)
+2.7%
Power Play
64.3% (263)
59.9% (202)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (85)
55.1% (78)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Horvat shoots left. Stastny is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (727).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stastny
Home
57.3% (742)
56.9% (596)
Away
57.4% (741)
52.5% (543)
By Period
Horvat
Stastny
P1
59.0%
53.9%
P2
59.7%
56.2%
P3
53.6%
54.4%
OT
55.6%
53.8%
Final 5 min
59.3%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 11:58 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 04:52 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |