Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 30 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 52.7% vs Stastny 54.0% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 34-23 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 54.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 80.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 58.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Horvat
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
34
(57 meetings)
23
34
Horvat
Stastny
Last 10: Horvat 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
7
23
Horvat
Stastny
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
7
4
Horvat
Stastny
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
9
7
Horvat
Stastny
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (955)
52.5% (432)
-1.8%
Power Play
65.3% (213)
60.4% (154)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
66.7% (6)
-22.8%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Horvat is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Horvat shoots left. Stastny is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stastny
Home
54.1% (599)
58.3% (307)
Away
51.8% (626)
50.9% (285)
By Period
Horvat
Stastny
P1
50.8%
57.4%
P2
50.0%
51.7%
P3
57.7%
54.5%
OT
57.1%
80.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
52.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2021 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 11, 2021 | 3 | 14:17 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| May 11, 2021 | 3 | 07:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 11, 2021 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| May 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 19:58 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 08:59 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 06:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 00:04 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |