Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 38.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 42.9% vs Stastny 53.0% (-13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 69.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 54.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 66.0%
Result
Bobby Ryan favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Ryan
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Ryan
Stastny
Last 6: Ryan 2-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Ryan
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Ryan
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (160)
52.2% (1,107)
-10.9%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
61.0% (254)
-21.5%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
46.4% (138)
-19.7%
On power play, Stastny has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Ryan is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Ryan shoots right. Stastny is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (465).
Home / Away
Ryan
Stastny
Home
38.4% (138)
52.5% (785)
Away
42.0% (81)
53.9% (739)
By Period
Ryan
Stastny
P1
33.7%
51.3%
P2
40.3%
55.2%
P3
49.2%
52.6%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
32.6%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
36.0%▼
38.0%
39.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2011 | 3 | 11:09 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 28, 2011 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 18:24 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 3 | 10:29 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 03:56 | Offensive | Bobby Ryan |