Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.0% vs 54.8%). Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 53.4% vs Stastny 54.4% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 80.2%
Defensive zone
Richardson 82.6%
Neutral zone
Richardson 56.1%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Richardson
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Richardson
Stastny
Last 10: Richardson 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
5
Richardson
Stastny
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Richardson
Stastny
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (525)
53.6% (859)
+1.8%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
59.9% (202)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (114)
55.1% (78)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Richardson is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Richardson shoots left. Stastny is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (727).
Home / Away
Richardson
Stastny
Home
56.7% (344)
56.9% (596)
Away
51.0% (314)
52.5% (543)
By Period
Richardson
Stastny
P1
48.8%
53.9%
P2
54.1%
56.2%
P3
58.4%
54.4%
OT
100.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
53.1%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 06:37 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 16:44 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 15:09 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 11:25 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 11:41 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 03:46 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |