Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.7% vs 54.9%). Look for Dubinsky on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 54.3% vs Stastny 54.6% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 71.7%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 71.8%
Neutral zone
Stastny 60.6%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Dubinsky
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dubinsky
Stastny
Last 6: Dubinsky 2-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Dubinsky
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
2
1
Dubinsky
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Dubinsky
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (784)
54.8% (1,130)
-0.3%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
59.1% (235)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
54.4% (147)
49.3% (150)
+5.1%
On power play, Dubinsky has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Dubinsky is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (602).
Dubinsky shoots left. Stastny is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (947).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Stastny
Home
55.1% (521)
55.5% (803)
Away
54.3% (431)
54.2% (712)
By Period
Dubinsky
Stastny
P1
58.5%
57.4%
P2
49.8%
52.5%
P3
55.8%
54.3%
OT
63.6%
69.6%
Final 5 min
54.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
54.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 06:31 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 06:31 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 18:59 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |