Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Little wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 47.6% vs Stastny 54.4% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 50.6%
Defensive zone
Stastny 62.1%
Neutral zone
Little 56.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Little
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Little
Stastny
Last 10: Little 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
5
1
Little
Stastny
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
7
Little
Stastny
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
2
0
Little
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (87)
53.6% (859)
-7.6%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
59.9% (202)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
55.1% (78)
-32.9%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +32.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Little is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Little shoots right. Stastny is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Little
Stastny
Home
50.0% (48)
56.9% (596)
Away
41.4% (58)
52.5% (543)
By Period
Little
Stastny
P1
42.1%
53.9%
P2
42.4%
56.2%
P3
50.0%
54.4%
OT
60.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
33.3%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
45.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 18:59 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 16:52 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 10:18 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 19:55 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 16:08 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 13:04 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 00:56 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |