Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Soderberg wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 46.0% vs Stastny 54.4% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 70.2%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 66.1%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 69.0%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Soderberg
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Soderberg
Stastny
Last 8: Soderberg 2-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Soderberg
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
1
0
Soderberg
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Soderberg
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (469)
53.6% (859)
-8.4%
Power Play
51.9% (54)
59.9% (202)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
55.1% (78)
-27.3%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Soderberg is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Soderberg shoots left. Stastny is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (727).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Stastny
Home
44.4% (248)
56.9% (596)
Away
46.1% (293)
52.5% (543)
By Period
Soderberg
Stastny
P1
44.0%
53.9%
P2
49.2%
56.2%
P3
42.5%
54.4%
OT
0.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
43.8%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 03:29 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 05:25 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 05:10 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 02:02 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |