Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Stastny 56.3% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 70.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 89.7%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 63.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Cizikas
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Cizikas
Stastny
Last 10: Cizikas 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
5
Cizikas
Stastny
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
3
Cizikas
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
57.5% (412)
-1.1%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
60.0% (65)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
44.4% (9)
-3.8%
On power play, Stastny has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Cizikas shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Stastny
Home
55.0% (473)
58.3% (276)
Away
51.7% (466)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Cizikas
Stastny
P1
54.9%
63.7%
P2
50.8%
57.3%
P3
54.5%
50.4%
Final 5 min
55.2%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 02:10 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 01:50 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 16:26 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |