Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 48.8% vs Stastny 53.0% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 72.5%
Defensive zone
Krejci 73.7%
Neutral zone
Krejci 72.8%
Result
David Krejci favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Krejci
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Krejci
Stastny
Last 7: Krejci 1-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Krejci
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Krejci
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Krejci
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (872)
52.2% (1,107)
-3.1%
Power Play
46.3% (177)
61.0% (254)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
46.4% (138)
+2.4%
On power play, Stastny has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Krejci is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Krejci shoots right. Stastny is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (465).
Home / Away
Krejci
Stastny
Home
49.7% (557)
52.5% (785)
Away
47.8% (592)
53.9% (739)
By Period
Krejci
Stastny
P1
47.4%
51.3%
P2
49.5%
55.2%
P3
48.1%
52.6%
OT
64.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
51.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
48.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2011 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 3 | 09:56 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 1 | 11:40 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |