Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Perron wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perron 43.2% vs Stastny 54.6% (-14.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perron 88.1%
Defensive zone
Stastny 56.6%
Neutral zone
Perron 75.5%
Result
David Perron favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Perron
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Perron
Stastny
Last 5: Perron 1-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Perron
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Perron
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Perron
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perron
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
37.2% (180)
54.8% (1,130)
-17.6%
Power Play
50.0% (56)
59.1% (235)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
49.3% (150)
+0.7%
On even strength, Stastny has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Perron is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Perron shoots right. Stastny is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (568).
Home / Away
Perron
Stastny
Home
40.2% (122)
55.5% (803)
Away
40.5% (116)
54.2% (712)
By Period
Perron
Stastny
P1
44.6%
57.4%
P2
35.1%
52.5%
P3
41.8%
54.3%
OT
36.4%
69.6%
Final 5 min
41.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perron
38.0%▼
40.0%
40.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 10:29 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 15:06 | Neutral | David Perron |
| Oct 21, 2017 | OT | 03:35 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 21, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 05:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |