Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rasmussen on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rasmussen wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rasmussen 45.7% vs Stastny 55.4% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 51.5%
Defensive zone
Rasmussen 57.7%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 54.2%
Result
Dennis Rasmussen favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Rasmussen
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Rasmussen
Stastny
Last 9: Rasmussen 4-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Rasmussen
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Rasmussen
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
3
1
Rasmussen
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rasmussen
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (310)
55.4% (1,004)
-9.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
59.0% (210)
-25.7%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (57)
54.1% (196)
-13.7%
On power play, Stastny has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Rasmussen is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (213).
Rasmussen shoots left. Stastny is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Rasmussen
Stastny
Home
43.4% (159)
56.5% (717)
Away
45.5% (211)
55.0% (693)
By Period
Rasmussen
Stastny
P1
47.2%
56.7%
P2
43.0%
57.7%
P3
44.0%
52.1%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.3%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rasmussen
52.0%▲
46.0%
44.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 01:47 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 01:35 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 3 | 14:07 | Defensive | Dennis Rasmussen |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 2 | 19:33 | Neutral | Dennis Rasmussen |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 2 | 17:10 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | Dennis Rasmussen |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 1 | 08:45 | Neutral | Dennis Rasmussen |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 1 | 07:21 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |