Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Strome wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.1% vs Stastny 55.4% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 86.4%
Defensive zone
Stastny 52.9%
Neutral zone
Strome 64.4%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Strome
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Strome
Stastny
Last 8: Strome 2-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Strome
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Strome
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
3
Strome
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (684)
59.2% (370)
-8.6%
Power Play
58.9% (192)
40.9% (44)
+18.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
51.7% (58)
-18.4%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Strome is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Strome shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Strome
Stastny
Home
51.3% (448)
57.7% (215)
Away
53.4% (431)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Strome
Stastny
P1
51.4%
57.7%
P2
54.6%
54.2%
P3
50.7%
57.7%
OT
66.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 05:39 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1 | 15:30 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 2 | 17:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 2 | 08:13 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 15:34 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |