Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Malkin wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 44.3% vs Stastny 54.6% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 84.8%
Defensive zone
Malkin 89.7%
Neutral zone
Malkin 89.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 88.6%
88.6%
11.4%
Malkin
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Malkin
Stastny
Last 10: Malkin 1-9 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Malkin
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
5
Malkin
Stastny
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (1,028)
54.8% (1,130)
-11.2%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
59.1% (235)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
49.3% (150)
-49.3%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +49.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Malkin is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (715).
Malkin shoots left. Stastny is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (947).
Home / Away
Malkin
Stastny
Home
44.2% (489)
55.5% (803)
Away
43.3% (563)
54.2% (712)
By Period
Malkin
Stastny
P1
40.9%
57.4%
P2
42.2%
52.5%
P3
48.5%
54.3%
OT
40.0%
69.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 13:24 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 00:19 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 15:38 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 15:22 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 00:36 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 4, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 3 | 10:42 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 1 | 18:35 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |