Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 46.6% vs Stastny 53.0% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 89.5%
Defensive zone
Stastny 64.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 76.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 76.7%
23.3%
76.7%
Nielsen
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Nielsen
Stastny
Last 8: Nielsen 6-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Nielsen
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
0
Nielsen
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
0
Nielsen
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (766)
52.2% (1,107)
-6.0%
Power Play
43.4% (53)
61.0% (254)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (125)
46.4% (138)
+1.6%
On power play, Stastny has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Nielsen is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Nielsen shoots left. Stastny is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,059).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Stastny
Home
46.8% (489)
52.5% (785)
Away
45.6% (476)
53.9% (739)
By Period
Nielsen
Stastny
P1
45.5%
51.3%
P2
47.5%
55.2%
P3
46.5%
52.6%
OT
37.5%
62.5%
Final 5 min
49.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 02:42 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 17:00 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 01:22 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |