Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Nielsen wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 50.1% vs Stastny 55.6% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 69.2%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 76.2%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 70.9%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Nielsen
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nielsen
Stastny
Last 5: Nielsen 1-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Nielsen
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Nielsen
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nielsen
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (899)
56.5% (967)
-5.8%
Power Play
54.8% (73)
58.4% (125)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (197)
50.8% (128)
-5.1%
On even strength, Stastny has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Nielsen is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Nielsen shoots left. Stastny is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (765).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Stastny
Home
51.1% (595)
56.8% (590)
Away
49.1% (574)
55.4% (630)
By Period
Nielsen
Stastny
P1
53.2%
59.7%
P2
48.1%
54.8%
P3
49.3%
53.8%
OT
42.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 3 | 06:39 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |