Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 52.6% vs Stastny 54.0% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 61.3%
Defensive zone
Miller 75.9%
Neutral zone
Miller 56.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Miller
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Miller
Stastny
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
7
Miller
Stastny
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Miller
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (432)
52.5% (432)
+2.4%
Power Play
23.1% (13)
60.4% (154)
-37.3%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (81)
66.7% (6)
-18.6%
On power play, Stastny has a +37.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Miller is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (362).
Miller shoots left. Stastny is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Miller
Stastny
Home
55.4% (294)
58.3% (307)
Away
50.0% (232)
50.9% (285)
By Period
Miller
Stastny
P1
47.5%
57.4%
P2
51.7%
51.7%
P3
60.5%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2021 | 3 | 17:51 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| May 11, 2021 | 1 | 15:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 11, 2021 | 1 | 12:00 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 05:50 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 15:25 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 10:33 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |