Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stoll wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.3% vs Stastny 52.1% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 63.0%
Defensive zone
Stastny 60.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 61.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Stoll
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Stoll
Stastny
Last 7: Stoll 2-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
3
Stoll
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Stoll
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (539)
51.0% (588)
+7.4%
Power Play
55.6% (63)
60.6% (104)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (144)
51.7% (89)
-4.5%
On even strength, Stoll has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (539).
Stoll shoots right. Stastny is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Stoll
Stastny
Home
57.3% (358)
54.0% (400)
Away
54.9% (388)
50.7% (381)
By Period
Stoll
Stastny
P1
47.8%
57.8%
P2
59.5%
52.5%
P3
58.1%
47.5%
OT
85.7%
41.7%
Final 5 min
56.8%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
56.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 19:06 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 18:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 17:01 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |