Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Stoll wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 56.3% vs Stastny 55.6% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 87.5%
Defensive zone
Stoll 56.4%
Neutral zone
Stastny 66.7%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 71.1%
28.9%
71.1%
Stoll
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Stoll
Stastny
Last 10: Stoll 2-8 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
7
Stoll
Stastny
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
3
1
Stoll
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Stoll
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (650)
56.5% (967)
+1.2%
Power Play
66.7% (15)
58.4% (125)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (178)
50.8% (128)
+3.1%
On power play, Stoll has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Stoll is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Stoll shoots right. Stastny is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Home / Away
Stoll
Stastny
Home
59.6% (421)
56.8% (590)
Away
54.5% (422)
55.4% (630)
By Period
Stoll
Stastny
P1
55.4%
59.7%
P2
55.9%
54.8%
P3
59.9%
53.8%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2016 | 3 | 06:00 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 00:54 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 2 | 06:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 1 | 15:46 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 1 | 05:21 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |