Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings). McClement wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 52.7% vs Stastny 55.1% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 58.6%
Defensive zone
McClement 87.1%
Neutral zone
McClement 69.3%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
McClement
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
16
(25 meetings)
9
16
McClement
Stastny
Last 10: McClement 2-8 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
12
McClement
Stastny
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
8
2
McClement
Stastny
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
McClement
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (4,305)
54.6% (10,616)
-0.2%
Power Play
62.5% (104)
59.1% (1,994)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,440)
52.9% (1,119)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
McClement shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
McClement
Stastny
Home
55.4% (2,788)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
50.4% (3,083)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
McClement
Stastny
P1
53.5%
56.3%
P2
52.0%
55.4%
P3
53.2%
53.5%
OT
47.9%
62.9%
Final 5 min
52.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 19:58 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 16:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 30, 2015 | OT | 03:30 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 3 | 19:56 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 3 | 09:46 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 17:04 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 01:21 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 24, 2011 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 24, 2011 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 24, 2011 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 24, 2011 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 24, 2011 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 3 | 13:48 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 3 | 04:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |