Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Madden 50.6% vs Stastny 55.1% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 51.1%
Defensive zone
Madden 84.1%
Neutral zone
Madden 68.7%
Result
John Madden favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Madden
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
14
(24 meetings)
10
14
Madden
Stastny
Last 10: Madden 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
3
Madden
Stastny
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Madden
4
2
Madden
Stastny
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
9
Madden
Stastny
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Madden
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,083)
54.6% (10,616)
-3.4%
Power Play
51.5% (33)
59.1% (1,994)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (164)
52.9% (1,119)
-5.3%
On power play, Stastny has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Madden is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Madden shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Madden
Stastny
Home
52.7% (678)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
48.5% (623)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Madden
Stastny
P1
51.5%
56.3%
P2
52.5%
55.4%
P3
47.6%
53.5%
OT
62.5%
62.9%
Final 5 min
50.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2012 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 1 | 14:51 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 1 | 12:54 | Offensive | John Madden |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 06:43 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 07:04 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | John Madden |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 1 | 10:44 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 1 | 12:13 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 1 | 10:59 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 3 | 17:13 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 3 | 11:23 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 2 | 13:39 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | John Madden |