Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 51.0% vs Stastny 55.1% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 20-12 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Mitchell 70.7%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 82.6%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 75.6%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Mitchell
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
20
(32 meetings)
12
20
Mitchell
Stastny
Last 10: Mitchell 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
7
Mitchell
Stastny
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Mitchell
Stastny
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
9
Mitchell
Stastny
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (2,965)
54.6% (10,616)
-2.8%
Power Play
54.1% (196)
59.1% (1,994)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (401)
52.9% (1,119)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,298).
Mitchell shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Stastny
Home
54.4% (1,806)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
47.6% (1,756)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Mitchell
Stastny
P1
52.0%
56.3%
P2
49.9%
55.4%
P3
50.9%
53.5%
OT
69.2%
62.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Apr 3, 2016 | 3 | 14:30 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 3, 2016 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Apr 3, 2016 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Apr 3, 2016 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 3 | 15:21 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 1 | 10:43 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 1 | 08:10 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 3 | 08:31 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 2 | 18:25 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 3 | 15:34 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 2 | 16:25 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 15:25 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | John Mitchell |