Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chipchura 48.2% vs Stastny 55.1% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 62.9%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 61.5%
Neutral zone
Stastny 54.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Chipchura
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Chipchura
Stastny
Last 10: Chipchura 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Chipchura
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
2
1
Chipchura
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chipchura
3
1
Chipchura
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chipchura
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (332)
55.0% (1,136)
-7.1%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
57.5% (200)
-28.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
53.1% (64)
-5.3%
On power play, Stastny has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Chipchura is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (256).
Chipchura shoots left. Stastny is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Home / Away
Chipchura
Stastny
Home
46.5% (159)
58.5% (744)
Away
48.5% (204)
52.1% (680)
By Period
Chipchura
Stastny
P1
50.4%
57.9%
P2
47.0%
54.9%
P3
45.2%
53.0%
OT
100.0%
72.0%
Final 5 min
38.2%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
47.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 03:10 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 2 | 03:45 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 07:44 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |