Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Turris wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 48.4% vs Stastny 54.0% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 67.2%
Defensive zone
Turris 81.8%
Neutral zone
Turris 55.3%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Turris
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Turris
Stastny
Last 10: Turris 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
6
Turris
Stastny
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
3
1
Turris
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Turris
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (165)
52.5% (432)
-2.8%
Power Play
40.0% (15)
60.4% (154)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (24)
66.7% (6)
-29.2%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Turris is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Turris shoots right. Stastny is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Turris
Stastny
Home
48.5% (99)
58.3% (307)
Away
46.7% (105)
50.9% (285)
By Period
Turris
Stastny
P1
49.2%
57.4%
P2
51.9%
51.7%
P3
40.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
47.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 09:44 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 14:07 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 17:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 06:56 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |