Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +24.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Korpikoski 45.9% vs Stastny 57.3% (-24.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Korpikoski 73.4%
Defensive zone
Korpikoski 61.4%
Neutral zone
Korpikoski 71.7%
Result
Lauri Korpikoski favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Korpikoski
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Korpikoski
Stastny
Last 7: Korpikoski 2-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Korpikoski
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Korpikoski
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Korpikoski
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Korpikoski
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (25)
57.6% (959)
-21.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
60.8% (125)
-60.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
58.1% (74)
-29.5%
On power play, Stastny has a +60.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Korpikoski is 29.4% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Korpikoski shoots left. Stastny is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Home / Away
Korpikoski
Stastny
Home
35.0% (20)
55.9% (590)
Away
30.8% (13)
60.0% (568)
By Period
Korpikoski
Stastny
P1
35.7%
59.6%
P2
45.5%
59.0%
P3
12.5%
55.3%
Final 5 min
57.1%
65.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Korpikoski
40.0%▲
32.5%
33.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 05:53 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 13:45 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 07:21 | Neutral | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 07:43 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |