Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Komarov wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 49.3% vs Stastny 55.6% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 70.2%
Defensive zone
Stastny 64.1%
Neutral zone
Stastny 65.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Komarov
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Komarov
Stastny
Last 5: Komarov 3-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Komarov
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Komarov
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Komarov
1
0
Komarov
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (59)
56.5% (967)
-7.3%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
58.4% (125)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (64)
50.8% (128)
-2.4%
On power play, Stastny has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Komarov is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (85).
Komarov shoots left. Stastny is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (765).
Home / Away
Komarov
Stastny
Home
52.3% (44)
56.8% (590)
Away
47.0% (83)
55.4% (630)
By Period
Komarov
Stastny
P1
39.3%
59.7%
P2
50.0%
54.8%
P3
54.0%
53.8%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
60.0%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
48.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 03:15 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 03:38 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |