Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Komarov wins 37.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 45.2% vs Stastny 54.4% (-15.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 67.4%
Defensive zone
Komarov 54.7%
Neutral zone
Komarov 65.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Komarov
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Komarov
Stastny
Last 5: Komarov 2-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Komarov
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
2
0
Komarov
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (70)
53.6% (859)
-10.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
59.9% (202)
-59.9%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
55.1% (78)
-28.4%
On power play, Stastny has a +59.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Komarov is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Komarov shoots left. Stastny is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (727).
Home / Away
Komarov
Stastny
Home
40.0% (40)
56.9% (596)
Away
39.1% (46)
52.5% (543)
By Period
Komarov
Stastny
P1
36.1%
53.9%
P2
46.2%
56.2%
P3
37.5%
54.4%
Final 5 min
22.7%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
39.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 15:05 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 12:56 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |