Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Glendening wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 57.6% vs Stastny 55.4% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 85.3%
Defensive zone
Glendening 75.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 56.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 75.8%
24.2%
75.8%
Glendening
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Glendening
Stastny
Last 6: Glendening 2-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
3
Glendening
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Glendening
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (535)
59.2% (370)
+2.3%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
40.9% (44)
+19.1%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
51.7% (58)
-1.4%
On power play, Glendening has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Glendening is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (558).
Glendening shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Glendening
Stastny
Home
59.7% (365)
57.7% (215)
Away
57.7% (359)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Glendening
Stastny
P1
65.3%
57.7%
P2
52.4%
54.2%
P3
58.7%
57.7%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
58.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 16:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 13:10 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 3 | 08:32 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |