Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kruger on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kruger wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 46.9% vs Stastny 52.1% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Kruger leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 87.9%
Defensive zone
Stastny 62.3%
Neutral zone
Stastny 69.5%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 74.1%
25.9%
74.1%
Kruger
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Kruger
Stastny
Last 10: Kruger 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
4
Kruger
Stastny
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
4
3
Kruger
Stastny
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kruger
3
0
Kruger
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (334)
51.0% (588)
-1.0%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
60.6% (104)
-20.6%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (149)
51.7% (89)
-13.4%
On power play, Stastny has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Kruger is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Kruger shoots left. Stastny is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Home / Away
Kruger
Stastny
Home
51.8% (255)
54.0% (400)
Away
40.3% (238)
50.7% (381)
By Period
Kruger
Stastny
P1
50.3%
57.8%
P2
43.0%
52.5%
P3
44.7%
47.5%
OT
54.5%
41.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 08:40 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 08:42 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 04:49 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 16:18 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 13:20 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 04:44 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 3 | 11:58 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 1 | 15:50 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 1 | 02:18 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 3 | 14:47 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 3 | 11:47 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 3 | 02:19 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 2 | 14:03 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 1 | 13:34 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |