Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Talbot wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 47.0% vs Stastny 55.1% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 51.9%
Defensive zone
Talbot 73.6%
Neutral zone
Talbot 61.4%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Talbot
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Talbot
Stastny
Last 10: Talbot 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
4
1
Talbot
Stastny
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
5
Talbot
Stastny
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
7
Talbot
Stastny
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,738)
54.6% (10,616)
-6.3%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
59.1% (1,994)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (631)
52.9% (1,119)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Talbot is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,539).
Talbot shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Talbot
Stastny
Home
48.0% (1,219)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
45.8% (1,215)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Talbot
Stastny
P1
48.7%
56.3%
P2
43.5%
55.4%
P3
48.6%
53.5%
OT
45.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
46.9%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 18:36 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 15:23 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 07:09 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 04:55 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2011 | OT | 04:47 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 3 | 13:13 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 3 | 07:16 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 2 | 17:24 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 1 | 10:06 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 2 | 17:34 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 2 | 13:57 | Offensive | Max Talbot |