Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 50.8% vs Stastny 53.8% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 51.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 71.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 57.9%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Thompson
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Thompson
Stastny
Last 5: Thompson 1-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Thompson
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Thompson
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (785)
53.2% (995)
-1.0%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
57.6% (158)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (175)
61.4% (57)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Thompson is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (602).
Thompson shoots left. Stastny is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
Thompson
Stastny
Home
54.1% (475)
55.1% (586)
Away
47.9% (499)
53.2% (624)
By Period
Thompson
Stastny
P1
50.0%
54.7%
P2
49.5%
53.1%
P3
54.0%
54.2%
OT
35.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2014 | 2 | 11:02 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 08:35 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 08:30 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |