Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 50.8% vs Stastny 53.0% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 60.8%
Defensive zone
Spaling 68.2%
Neutral zone
Spaling 58.6%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Spaling
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Spaling
Stastny
Last 6: Spaling 2-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Spaling
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spaling
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Spaling
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (353)
52.2% (1,107)
-0.6%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
61.0% (254)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (136)
46.4% (138)
+2.9%
On power play, Stastny has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Spaling is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (331).
Spaling shoots left. Stastny is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,059).
Home / Away
Spaling
Stastny
Home
49.2% (260)
52.5% (785)
Away
52.7% (237)
53.9% (739)
By Period
Spaling
Stastny
P1
55.2%
51.3%
P2
49.7%
55.2%
P3
47.7%
52.6%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2011 | 3 | 12:52 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 3 | 09:01 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 1 | 03:15 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |