Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marleau 51.6% vs Stastny 54.6% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Marleau 66.7%
Defensive zone
Marleau 62.7%
Neutral zone
Marleau 60.1%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Marleau
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Marleau
Stastny
Last 10: Marleau 2-8 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Marleau
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
2
1
Marleau
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
6
Marleau
Stastny
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marleau
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (251)
54.8% (1,130)
-1.0%
Power Play
47.1% (34)
59.1% (235)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
49.3% (150)
-11.8%
On power play, Stastny has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Marleau is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (159).
Marleau shoots left. Stastny is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (947).
Home / Away
Marleau
Stastny
Home
60.4% (111)
55.5% (803)
Away
47.4% (190)
54.2% (712)
By Period
Marleau
Stastny
P1
54.7%
57.4%
P2
51.5%
52.5%
P3
49.2%
54.3%
OT
80.0%
69.6%
Final 5 min
56.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2018 | OT | 01:32 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 18:48 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 18:40 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 1 | 08:17 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 10:10 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 07:52 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 02:07 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 07:10 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 1 | 00:48 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |