Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Gaustad wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.4% vs Stastny 53.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 68.4%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 87.9%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 66.6%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Gaustad
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
2
(12 meetings)
10
2
Gaustad
Stastny
Last 10: Gaustad 8-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaustad
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
8
1
Gaustad
Stastny
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
0
Gaustad
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (913)
53.2% (995)
+6.1%
Power Play
72.2% (18)
57.6% (158)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (269)
61.4% (57)
-8.6%
On power play, Gaustad has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Gaustad shoots left. Stastny is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Stastny
Home
58.6% (604)
55.1% (586)
Away
57.4% (596)
53.2% (624)
By Period
Gaustad
Stastny
P1
61.5%
54.7%
P2
55.7%
53.1%
P3
56.6%
54.2%
OT
75.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 05:26 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 01:47 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 6, 2013 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 6, 2013 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 6, 2013 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 3 | 11:53 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 1 | 00:57 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |