Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Stastny wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Holland 45.9% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 13-3 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 97.0%
Defensive zone
Stastny 85.6%
Neutral zone
Stastny 94.9%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 92.6%
92.6%
7.4%
Stastny
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
3
(16 meetings)
13
3
Stastny
Holland
Last 10: Stastny 9-1 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
1
Stastny
Holland
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
2
Stastny
Holland
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
6
0
Stastny
Holland
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
45.6% (2,232)
+9.0%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
52.4% (126)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
42.3% (137)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Stastny shoots left. Holland is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,605).
Home / Away
Stastny
Holland
Home
55.9% (7,073)
48.6% (1,288)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
42.7% (1,207)
By Period
Stastny
Holland
P1
56.3%
46.1%
P2
55.4%
47.3%
P3
53.5%
43.9%
OT
62.9%
39.1%
Final 5 min
55.7%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 12:29 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 03:34 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 13:51 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 02:59 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 19:45 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 14:49 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 09:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 04:22 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 09:18 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Peter Holland |