Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stastny wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 57.3% vs Holland 46.1% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 96.9%
Defensive zone
Stastny 76.2%
Neutral zone
Stastny 91.5%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 90.6%
90.6%
9.4%
Stastny
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Stastny
Holland
Last 10: Stastny 9-1 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
0
Stastny
Holland
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stastny
Holland
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
0
Stastny
Holland
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (959)
45.4% (575)
+12.2%
Power Play
60.8% (125)
44.8% (29)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (74)
46.9% (81)
+11.2%
On power play, Stastny has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Stastny is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Stastny shoots left. Holland is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Stastny
Holland
Home
55.9% (590)
47.2% (373)
Away
60.0% (568)
43.6% (312)
By Period
Stastny
Holland
P1
59.6%
46.8%
P2
59.0%
47.6%
P3
55.3%
42.5%
OT
58.3%
41.7%
Final 5 min
65.1%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.9%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 13:51 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 02:59 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 19:45 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 14:49 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 09:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 04:22 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Peter Holland |