Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 28 meetings). Stastny wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Faksa 52.4% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 49-39 in 88 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 84.7%
Defensive zone
Faksa 69.5%
Neutral zone
Stastny 64.5%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Stastny
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
49
-
39
(88 meetings)
49
39
Stastny
Faksa
Last 10: Stastny 7-3 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
22
6
Stastny
Faksa
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
7
18
Stastny
Faksa
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
20
15
Stastny
Faksa
35 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
52.8% (6,672)
+1.8%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
57.7% (291)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
49.4% (1,362)
+3.5%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Stastny shoots left. Faksa is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,179).
Home / Away
Stastny
Faksa
Home
55.9% (7,073)
52.9% (4,073)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
51.9% (4,252)
By Period
Stastny
Faksa
P1
56.3%
53.0%
P2
55.4%
52.5%
P3
53.5%
51.9%
OT
62.9%
45.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Faksa
44.0%▼
51.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 12:11 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 12:46 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 3 | 13:38 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 3 | 06:26 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 2 | 19:40 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 1 | 16:36 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 1 | 16:20 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 1 | 02:34 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 05:52 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |