Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings). Stastny wins 58.4% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Peverley 57.7% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Peverley 53.7%
Defensive zone
Peverley 60.7%
Neutral zone
Peverley 54.9%
Result
Rich Peverley favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Stastny
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
13
(27 meetings)
14
13
Stastny
Peverley
Last 10: Stastny 6-4 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
8
5
Stastny
Peverley
13 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Stastny
Peverley
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peverley
2
4
Stastny
Peverley
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
58.0% (1,715)
-3.4%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
57.0% (391)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
59.2% (333)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Stastny shoots left. Peverley is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,710).
Home / Away
Stastny
Peverley
Home
55.9% (7,073)
58.1% (1,266)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
57.9% (1,182)
By Period
Stastny
Peverley
P1
56.3%
59.6%
P2
55.4%
57.8%
P3
53.5%
57.0%
OT
62.9%
51.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2014 | 2 | 17:13 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 16, 2013 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 16, 2013 | 1 | 16:59 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 2 | 12:24 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 2 | 01:17 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 3 | 16:30 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 2 | 08:53 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 1 | 02:44 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 3 | 14:55 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 3 | 12:08 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 3 | 10:18 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 3 | 10:10 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 2 | 10:52 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |