Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stastny wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.6% vs Rakell 44.8% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 82.0%
Defensive zone
Stastny 94.4%
Neutral zone
Stastny 85.9%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 88.9%
88.9%
11.1%
Stastny
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Stastny
Rakell
Last 6: Stastny 5-1 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stastny
Rakell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
0
Stastny
Rakell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Rakell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (967)
43.7% (423)
+12.8%
Power Play
58.4% (125)
45.5% (22)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (128)
33.3% (6)
+17.5%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Stastny is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Stastny shoots left. Rakell is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Stastny
Rakell
Home
56.8% (590)
46.1% (180)
Away
55.4% (630)
42.1% (271)
By Period
Stastny
Rakell
P1
59.7%
47.7%
P2
54.8%
37.6%
P3
53.8%
46.0%
OT
60.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
55.6%
39.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.1%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2016 | 3 | 03:13 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 1 | 03:01 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |