Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 52.1% vs Cervenka 48.0% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 66.5%
Defensive zone
Stastny 86.3%
Neutral zone
Stastny 72.9%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Stastny
Cervenka
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Stastny
Cervenka
Last 5: Stastny 4-1 Cervenka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cervenka
0
1
Stastny
Cervenka
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
0
Stastny
Cervenka
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Cervenka
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Cervenka
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (588)
40.9% (93)
+10.1%
Power Play
60.6% (104)
66.7% (30)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (89)
0.0% (2)
+51.7%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +51.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cervenka shoots left. Stastny is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Stastny shoots left. Cervenka is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Stastny
Cervenka
Home
54.0% (400)
47.5% (59)
Away
50.7% (381)
45.5% (66)
By Period
Stastny
Cervenka
P1
57.8%
32.7%
P2
52.5%
50.0%
P3
47.5%
62.5%
OT
41.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Cervenka
46.0%▬
46.4%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2013 | 2 | 09:19 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 2 | 05:30 | Offensive | Roman Cervenka |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |