Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stastny wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Spooner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Spooner 43.6% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 54.3%
Defensive zone
Stastny 82.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 69.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Stastny
Spooner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Stastny
Spooner
Last 7: Stastny 4-3 Spooner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spooner
0
2
Stastny
Spooner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
0
Stastny
Spooner
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spooner
0
1
Stastny
Spooner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Spooner
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
43.1% (1,540)
+11.5%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
46.3% (67)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
42.1% (19)
+10.8%
On power play, Stastny has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spooner shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Stastny shoots left. Spooner is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Stastny
Spooner
Home
55.9% (7,073)
43.9% (779)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
42.6% (847)
By Period
Stastny
Spooner
P1
56.3%
45.0%
P2
55.4%
46.2%
P3
53.5%
38.2%
OT
62.9%
35.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2017 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 1 | 16:35 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 13:56 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 13:50 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |