Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.6% vs Spooner 43.6% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spooner 59.6%
Defensive zone
Stastny 55.4%
Neutral zone
Spooner 58.1%
Result
Ryan Spooner favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Stastny
Spooner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stastny
Spooner
Last 5: Stastny 2-3 Spooner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spooner
0
2
Stastny
Spooner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
0
Stastny
Spooner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spooner
0
1
Stastny
Spooner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Spooner
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (967)
42.9% (683)
+13.6%
Power Play
58.4% (125)
44.4% (18)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (128)
30.0% (10)
+20.8%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spooner shoots left. Stastny is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (765).
Stastny shoots left. Spooner is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Stastny
Spooner
Home
56.8% (590)
42.4% (349)
Away
55.4% (630)
43.1% (362)
By Period
Stastny
Spooner
P1
59.7%
44.7%
P2
54.8%
45.8%
P3
53.8%
37.4%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.6%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.1%
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2016 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 1 | 16:35 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 13:56 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 13:50 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |