Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Stastny wins 58.4% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Strome 44.7% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 15-13 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 69.0%
Defensive zone
Stastny 69.2%
Neutral zone
Stastny 73.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Stastny
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
13
(28 meetings)
15
13
Stastny
Strome
Last 10: Stastny 5-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
6
5
Stastny
Strome
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
6
Stastny
Strome
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
5
2
Stastny
Strome
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
44.2% (6,744)
+10.4%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
49.4% (848)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
41.5% (407)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Stastny shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,655).
Home / Away
Stastny
Strome
Home
55.9% (7,073)
44.4% (3,997)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
44.8% (4,002)
By Period
Stastny
Strome
P1
56.3%
44.2%
P2
55.4%
45.2%
P3
53.5%
44.4%
OT
62.9%
45.6%
Final 5 min
55.7%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Strome
52.0%▲
46.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 02:01 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 10:08 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 3 | 01:11 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 3 | 00:10 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 2 | 02:22 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 10:12 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 1 | 05:19 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 2 | 18:16 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 2 | 13:15 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |