Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.1% vs 52.8%). Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 53.0% vs Koivu 52.6% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 67.1%
Defensive zone
Koivu 75.4%
Neutral zone
Koivu 57.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Stastny
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stastny
Koivu
Last 5: Stastny 1-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Stastny
Koivu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Stastny
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (1,107)
52.7% (873)
-0.5%
Power Play
61.0% (254)
63.1% (168)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (138)
47.9% (267)
-1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Stastny is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,059).
Stastny shoots left. Koivu is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (960).
Home / Away
Stastny
Koivu
Home
52.5% (785)
56.7% (601)
Away
53.9% (739)
49.6% (738)
By Period
Stastny
Koivu
P1
51.3%
51.2%
P2
55.2%
55.2%
P3
52.6%
51.3%
OT
62.5%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.9%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.1%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2011 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 28, 2011 | 2 | 00:23 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 28, 2011 | 1 | 17:08 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |