Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Stastny wins 58.4% vs right-shot opponents — Selanne shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Selanne 47.4% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Selanne 64.3%
Defensive zone
Stastny 98.3%
Neutral zone
Stastny 93.7%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Stastny
Selanne
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Stastny
Selanne
Last 10: Stastny 6-4 Selanne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Selanne
1
4
Stastny
Selanne
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
9
0
Stastny
Selanne
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Selanne
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
46.7% (480)
+7.9%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
48.5% (305)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
0.0% (2)
+52.9%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +52.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Selanne shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Stastny shoots left. Selanne is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Stastny
Selanne
Home
55.9% (7,073)
47.8% (414)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
46.3% (378)
By Period
Stastny
Selanne
P1
56.3%
45.6%
P2
55.4%
45.9%
P3
53.5%
50.6%
OT
62.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Selanne
36.0%▼
46.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2012 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Teemu Selanne |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Teemu Selanne |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Teemu Selanne |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 2 | 04:31 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 1 | 06:46 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 22, 2012 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Teemu Selanne |
| Jan 22, 2012 | 2 | 19:11 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 19:15 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |