Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Stastny wins 60.5% vs right-shot opponents — Selanne shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Selanne 48.8% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Selanne 72.5%
Defensive zone
Stastny 92.8%
Neutral zone
Stastny 79.6%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Stastny
Selanne
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Stastny
Selanne
Last 10: Stastny 6-4 Selanne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Selanne
0
4
Stastny
Selanne
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
6
0
Stastny
Selanne
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Selanne
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,136)
50.9% (159)
+4.1%
Power Play
57.5% (200)
46.3% (136)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
0.0% (1)
+53.1%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +53.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Selanne shoots right. Stastny is 60.5% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Stastny shoots left. Selanne is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Stastny
Selanne
Home
58.5% (744)
45.2% (146)
Away
52.1% (680)
51.3% (154)
By Period
Stastny
Selanne
P1
57.9%
48.8%
P2
54.9%
46.4%
P3
53.0%
50.5%
OT
72.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Selanne
36.0%▼
46.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2012 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Teemu Selanne |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Teemu Selanne |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Teemu Selanne |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 2 | 04:31 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 1 | 06:46 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 22, 2012 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Teemu Selanne |
| Jan 22, 2012 | 2 | 19:11 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |