Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 54.3%). Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 23 meetings). Stastny wins 58.4% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Zajac 54.2% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 31-31 in 62 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 60.2%
Defensive zone
Zajac 59.5%
Neutral zone
Zajac 51.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Stastny
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
31
(62 meetings)
31
31
Stastny
Zajac
Last 10: Stastny 7-3 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
13
10
Stastny
Zajac
23 total
Defensive Zone
Even
11
11
Stastny
Zajac
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
7
10
Stastny
Zajac
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
54.4% (9,056)
+0.2%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
59.1% (1,498)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
48.6% (1,599)
+4.3%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Stastny shoots left. Zajac is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,183).
Home / Away
Stastny
Zajac
Home
55.9% (7,073)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Stastny
Zajac
P1
56.3%
53.8%
P2
55.4%
55.6%
P3
53.5%
53.6%
OT
62.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 04:21 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 18:06 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 14:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 02:38 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 1 | 19:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 1 | 19:26 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 16:38 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 11:47 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 00:13 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 12:40 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |