Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stastny wins 57.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 54.4% vs Zajac 52.6% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 78.8%
Defensive zone
Zajac 70.7%
Neutral zone
Zajac 55.9%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Stastny
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Stastny
Zajac
Last 9: Stastny 6-3 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
0
Stastny
Zajac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stastny
Zajac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stastny
Zajac
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (859)
53.9% (851)
-0.3%
Power Play
59.9% (202)
49.0% (49)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (78)
48.9% (190)
+6.2%
On power play, Stastny has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Stastny is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Stastny shoots left. Zajac is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Home / Away
Stastny
Zajac
Home
56.9% (596)
53.3% (533)
Away
52.5% (543)
52.4% (557)
By Period
Stastny
Zajac
P1
53.9%
54.3%
P2
56.2%
51.8%
P3
54.4%
53.2%
OT
53.8%
14.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 04:21 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 18:06 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 14:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 02:38 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 1 | 19:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 1 | 19:26 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |